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The future is Green

An important Conversation about Senate changes

27/2/2016

3 Comments

 
It seems that changes to how Senators are elected is about to pass parliament, which in turn may or may not lead to an early election.

It is difficult to know exactly how this will affect outcomes - informed voters will likely adjust their votes so that their intentions are most accurately reflected by the voting systems, political parties will change their approach to get the most out of the system, a micro-party revolt might affect voting in the House of Reps, and then there are simply the unknowns that will be thrown up by a system that is made more complex because it is preferential.
Picture
Cartoon by Ron Tandberg
This is a good time to look at a few different opinions on what these changes will mean.

Antony Green's election blog is always a good source of information on the electoral process. Understanding what the changes mean can be both heavy going and confusing, but check out this post from Antony - it runs a number of scenarios based on actual election returns and shows how the changes would have changed actual election outcomes.

There is also informed opinion on what these changes might mean to governance in Australia. The Conversation website is a great source of information and considered opinion. A recent piece by John Dryzek  from the University of Canberra is well worth a read. His argument is that the parliament is (or should be) a place of justification and reflection, a place where members listen to arguments and then form their own opinion on the best way forward. John suggests that with the rise of adversarial party politics, there is more justification and much less reflection. Nowhere is reflection more needed than in the house of review the Senate. And if the changes to Senate elections lead to a greater representation of the major parties, this will only worsen.

It's a good article and well worth a read. You'll find it here.
Picture
Cartoon by David Pope
And finally, if all else fails... the only way to find real and clear understanding of the way politics works... turn to a cartoonist. First Dog on the Moon recently made a half-hearted attempt to explain the Senate changes. His thoughts are no less reasonable than all the other opinion I've read, and of course much more entertaining. You'll find it here.
by Mark Enders
3 Comments
Karen Thompson
27/2/2016 07:14:33

We have for a long time had preferential voting but both major parties campaign heavily that voters should not use their own individual preference. Voters are too stupid to preference the right way, their way, according to the major parties, hence just VOTE 1 and leave the preference dealings in the backroom to us. And it works, most voters give up their rights.

Is this laziness or just blind faith of people?

Honestly, I am really looking forward to seeing the major parties campaigning on preferences though I think The Greens will cop a beating. The TWO major parties want a TWO horse race, whereas I am more a party person, the more parties the better. I do not want to see our country with only two parties.

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Malcolm
27/2/2016 21:35:59

Richard Denniss argues here that the Libs' sudden desire for change shouldn't rush the Greens or anyone else into unexamined changes. http://www.canberratimes.com.au/comment/beware-pollies-selling-senate-reform-20160226-gn4crz.html

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Mark
27/2/2016 22:10:08

Thanks for the link Malcolm. There is also an interesting piece in The Saturday Paper by Paul Bongiorno - supposing the l;egislation in passed, the Greens can still ensure that Turnbull doesn't go to an early election by delaying the implementation of the changes to August - https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2016/02/27/turnbull-rattled-over-tax-reform/14564916002928
The way the govt is sinking,under its own inertia, it's something worth considering

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